India v Sri Lanka – strengths and weaknesses

Following is a look at the strengths and weaknesses of India and Sri Lanka, who meet in the World Cup final on Saturday.

BATTING

* Overall: Too close to call

-India have scored more runs overall (2194 at an average of 274 runs per innings to Sri Lanka's 1933 at an average of 242 runs per innings) at a better run rate (5.80 versus 5.70)

-However, India have lost more wickets (58 v 40), providing a much healthier average per wicket for Sri Lanka (48.3 v 37.8)

* Openers: Slight advantage to Sri Lanka

-The teams feature the two outstanding opening pairs in the tournament

-The average opening stand of Sri Lanka (97.9) overshadows the Indian average (53.9)

-The rate at which the openers have got the runs is where India have an advantage (strike rate of 102.6 for India v 90.1 for Sri Lanka)

* Middle Order (Numbers 3, 4, 5): Slight advantage to Sri Lanka

-Both teams have the same strike rate of 86.5 although Sri Lanka have scored more runs per wicket lost (56.2 vs 41.6)

-The Indian middle order have had more time in the middle (874 runs from 1010 balls compared to Sri Lanka's 731 runs from 845 balls)

* Lower Middle Order (Numbers 6, 7, 8): Better performance by India

-India's lower middle order has had more time in the middle (304 runs from 390 balls) compared to Sri Lanka's (172 runs from 205 balls).

-India have a better average per wicket (23.4 runs vs 15.6 runs) although a slightly inferior strike rate (77.9 vs 83.9)

* Powerplay performance: India lead, despite losing more wickets

-Due mainly to the performance of their opening batsmen, India have a slightly superior runs per over rate during the powerplays, although Sri Lanka (14) have lost less wickets than India (22).

-On average, India are scoring at 6.4 runs per over during the powerplays, compared to Sri Lanka's 6.1.

-Sri Lanka average 61.2 runs per wicket compared to India's 43.5

Conclusion

-India are likely to score quicker although they are losing wickets in the process – drying up the runs will be the key challenge for the Sri Lankan bowlers.

-Sri Lanka's top-order batsmen are valuing their wickets - getting to their lower middle order is the key challenge for India's bowling attack.

BOWLING

* Overall: Sri Lanka clearly ahead

-Sri Lanka have conceded fewer runs (1328 runs in 7 innings at an average of 190 runs per innings) than India (1996 runs in 8 innings at an average of 250 runs per innings) at a distinctly more economical run rate (4.4 runs per over vs 5.2).

-However, both teams have taken the same number of wickets (9) per innings on average

* Fast Bowling: Slight edge to Sri Lanka

-Sri Lanka have bowled far fewer overs of pace compared to India (113 overs vs 157 overs) and have picked up fewer wickets (23 wickets to Sri Lanka vs 33 wickets to India)

-The average and strike rate for the fast bowlers is nearly the same (Indian average and strike rate: 24.9 and 28.5 respectively compared to Sri Lanka's 23.7 and 29.4 respectively)

-However, the Sri Lankan economy rate of 4.83 is distinctly better than the Indian economy rate of 5.23

*Spin bowling: Sri Lanka clearly ahead

-The economy of Sri Lankan spinners (3.79) is better than India's (4.86)

-The average for Sri Lanka is also better (20.4 vs 37.9), as is the strike rate (32.3 vs 46.9)

* Backup bowling: Sri Lanka ahead

-Although Sri Lanka have relied less heavily on non-specialist bowlers (only 57 overs compared to India's 105 overs), they have done much better in terms of economy (4.26 vs 4.97), average (20.3 vs 34.8) and strike rate (28.5 vs 42.0)

* Powerplay performance: Sri Lanka ahead

-Again, the economy rate of Sri Lanka (4.5) and average runs per wicket (26.7) is distinctly better than India's economy (5.4) and average (33.1)

* Conclusion:

-India will have to bowl out of their skins to compete with Sri Lanka's varied batting order and the Indian batsmen will have to apply themselves better against one of the most successful bowling attacks of the World Cup.

-Sri Lankan bowlers will need to execute the gameplan that has succeeded for them so far and will have to be prepared with backup plans in case they are seriously tested for the first time in the tournament.

* OTHER DISCIPLINES

-Running between wickets: Both teams have had five run outs each

-The Indian bowling attack has been more disciplined in terms of conceding extras (106 runs conceded at an average of 5.3% of the total runs conceded) as compared to Sri Lanka (89 runs at 6.7%)

-Despite the popular perception that Sri Lanka have a superior fielding outfit, India's fielders have performed better. They have had more run outs (6 versus 2), and have taken more catches (35 versus 31)

-Use of the Decision Review System: India have used the DRS better than Sri Lanka. The Indians have had 3 successful reviews out of 14 appeals, while Sri Lanka have only had 1 successful review out of 10 appeals

* CONCLUSION

-India have played in a number of close matches compared to the relative ease with which Sri Lanka have brushed aside their opponents, suggesting that Sri Lanka are the slight favourites.

-However, India may have a slight advantage having survived the pressure of several big matches.

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