The Sensex plunged nearly 400 points as the figures for manufacturing across the globe were down, denoting a global slowdown.
China’s official purchasing managers’ index, which indicates the health of the manufacturing sector, was also down to 53.9 in May from 55.7 in April. The rupee hit a one-week low of 47.12 against the dollar because of a combination of a weak euro and the fall
of two per cent in the Sensex.
Tuesday’s ferocious spike in the Sensex after the European markets opened deep in the red and the Dow Jones Futures showed a triple digit fall, reveals how the Indian markets are totally trailing the performance of the global markets.
The domestic figures are all positive whether it’s the PMI, the manufacturing figures and the gross domestic product (GDP). However, Mr Manish Sonthalia of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd points out that in the near term the markets will move in line with the global markets.
It will depend on the outflow of capital of the foreign institutional investors (FIIs). In May, they took out $2.5 billion which is significant for India and adds to the volatility. One can expect the market to go plus or minus five per cent from this level.
Mr Anil Rego of Right Horizons says risk appetite is on the wane. Globally there is more economic weakness ahead and the big concern is China.
India’s main weakness is dependence on the investment from foreign institutional investors (FIIs).
The FIIs take an emerging market view, so when news from China is negative, they exit from all the emerging markets including India. “We have been bearish on the market and see it could go down to 15,500 in the short-term,” Mr Rego said.