The BJP may emerge as the single largest party in the coming Assembly elections. According to ABP News-AC Nielsen survey, the BJP is likely to get 32 seats and the Congress 27 in the 70-member Assembly.
Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is expected to win 8 seats, while the BSP would hold on to its two seats and others would manage only one. The survey also predicts that the AAP will gain 15 per cent share from the Congress party’s vote share resulting in a sure shot win for the BJP.
The survey also observes that the BJP may be able to hold its loyalists to some extent.
The survey says that corruption, inflation and unemployment are likely to drive the political agenda in the polls.
The AAP is perceived to be able to bring down corruption and the BJP to control inflation.
“The switch of voters from Congress to BJP is mainly due to the former’s inability to control inflation (36 per cent) followed by increase in corruption (28 per cent). Switch from Congress to AAP is similar, inability to control inflation (26 per cent) followed by increase in corruption (25 per cent). However, the BJP still faces the issue of projecting credible leaders as 28 per cent are likely to switch their voting intention from it to the AAP because of the leadership issue,” the survey said.
The survey also indicates that Congress hasn’t been able to connect with younger generation.
“The younger generation 18-23 years (42 per cent) is the unhappiest lot. It tends to penalise the government most on major issues. Current government in Delhi has performed terribly on some sensitive areas. Work on the welfare of girl child/ women is rated as ‘deteriorated most’, followed by law and order situation, employment opportunities and poverty,” the survey said.