March.16 : There is a section that is currently arguing that the world economy will bounce back after the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, that the “green shoots” of recovery are for real and that the sharp fall in industrial activity, trade and investment was largely a trans-Atlantic phenomenon that originated from and primarily impacted developed countries in the United States, western Europe and Japan. There is reason to believe that none of these propositions are correct.
On the contrary, large parts of the planet are still in the grip of recession, the recovery is slow and the world is unlikely to return to the jobs scenario that prevailed in late-2007 in a hurry. One would be delighted to be proved wrong. But there are many reasons why the prevailing situation does not warrant excessive optimism.